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The market is facing headwinds from relentless FII selling, global uncertainties relating to Trump tariffs. The sharp surge in Chinese stocks is another near-term headwind. The ‘Sell India, Buy China’ trade may continue for some time since Chinese stocks continue to be attractive. The sharp spike in CBOE VIX indicates that volatility will continue for some time. In the US, long-term inflation expectations are rising and, therefore, the expected rate cut by the Fed is unlikely to materialise. The Fed might even turn hawkish, impacting US stock markets. If this happens and the US bond yields start declining, FIIs may cease to be sellers in India and may even resume buying. The near-term scenario is highly uncertain. The positive factor in our market is that the valuations of largecaps have turned fair and in certain segments like financials attractive, giving opportunities for long-term investors to buy. Even though the broader market valuations continue to be high, there are opportunities in select stocks in this segment.
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