The resilience of the mother market US, where the rally is spreading to the broader market, is supporting global markets. But the rally is stretching valuations beyond comfort levels. Sensex is now trading at 25 times trailing one-year earnings. It is important to note that the rally is driven by PE expansion, not commensurate earnings growth. The FY 24 Q1 earnings growth is muted except in banking and refineries. Results indicate that rural demand is yet to pick up in a meaningful manner.Even though Indian economy is in a sweet spot and it makes sense to remain invested, investors should be cautious in their fresh investment, particularly in chasing low grade small-caps.


 

Comments