The ongoing global rally in stock markets will get a further mild boost from the latest US consumer inflation for June which has come at 3 percent, better than market expectation of 3.1%. Importantly core inflation has dipped below 5% .This is clear indication that the disinflation process is on in the US and might persuade the Fed to pause once again in the July 26 rate decision. This is an important positive global cue.
In India, though the June CPI inflation has increased to 4.81%, this was expected since the prices of vegetables and milk had spiked. The positive number is the May IIP at 5.2%, which indicates that the growth momentum in the economy is robust.
Q1 results of TCS and HCL Tech, particularly that of HCL Tech, confirm the slowdown in the IT space.
Even though the cues are positive, high valuations are likely to restrain the bulls from charging ferociously.
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